Are we actually close to Artificial General Intelligence?
Some say AGI arrives by 2030. Others say we're not even on the right track. Both sides have Nobel laureates.
The answer
Artificial General Intelligence - AI that can match human cognitive abilities across any intellectual task - remains the field's most polarizing question. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman claimed in 2024 that AGI could arrive within the decade, while Meta's Yann LeCun argues current autoregressive LLMs are a 'dead end' for achieving true intelligence and advocates for world-model architectures instead. Google DeepMind published a framework in November 2023 proposing six levels of AGI, suggesting current systems are at Level 1 ('emerging'). The disagreement is partly definitional - if AGI means 'passing any human benchmark,' models are rapidly approaching it; if it means genuine flexible reasoning, common sense, and embodied understanding, we may be decades or paradigm shifts away.
Source: arXiv (Google DeepMind)
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